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ikeGPS
ASM Commentary Lowers FY25 Growth Target
30 SEPTEMBER 2024 BY JAMES LINDSAY AND WILL TWISS
At its 2024 Annual Shareholder Meeting (ASM), ikeGPS Group (IKE) tempered the growth outlook for its Subscription segment, representing ~55% of 1Q25 sales. Subscription revenue for FY25 is now expected to grow at ‘40% or greater vs pcp to ~$15m per annum or greater’, as compared to ‘50% or greater vs pcp to ~$16m per annum or greater’ when it released its FY24 results in May 2024. No explanation was provided for the reduction. While guidance has been lowered by only NZ$1m at the lower end, we now have reduced confidence in the near-term growth trajectory for Subscription revenues, despite the rate of new customer wins tracking ahead of one new enterprise customer per week. A lower level of sales will place increased pressure on IKE's balance sheet, with further cost out likely required for IKE to reach cash flow breakeven without external capital, unless sales reaccelerate faster than our expectations. The long-term opportunity in front of IKE remains significant, underpinned by: (1) new contract wins for its next-generation PoleForeman product, (2) the continued growth of its core IKE Office Pro product, and (3) the release of new AI products. However, IKE needs to deliver on its guidance and targets to rebuild investor confidence. We lower our Subscription revenue assumptions and include recently issued ESOP options, seeing our blended spot valuation falling -5% to NZ$0.83.
24 September 2024 | Tower Limited - Positive FY25 Reinsurance Outcome
09 September 2024 | Tower Limited - Strategic Progress on Multiple Fronts
29 August 2024 | Rakon - 5G Challenges Roll On, Opportunities Remain
28 August 2024 | NZME Limited - Displaying Progress With 1H24 Result
26 August 2024 | Harmoney - FY24 — Good Progress in a Tough Market
09 August 2024 | Tower Limited - Guidance Upgrades Galore
07 August 2024 | Radius Residential Care - Positive 1Q25 Trading Update
31 July 2024 | NZME Limited - Editing Expectations
29 July 2024 | ikeGPS - Transactions Back on the Map
the next 36 months.
16 July 2024 | ikeGPS | Margin Strengthens in 1Q25
30 June 2024 | Radius Residential Care - Aged Care Focus Drives Superior Returns
20 June 2024 | Radius Residential Care | Aged Care Focus Drives Superior Returns
12 June 2024 | Tower Limited - Calm Claims Help Elevate Profit Projections
31 May 2024 | ikeGPS FY24 Result Held Back, On Pole for FY25
6 November 2023 | Scott Technology - MHM Takeover Crystallises Value
15 November 2023 | Tower Limited - Customer Remediation Process Update
24 November 2023 | Rakon Limited - 1H24 — Sector Weakness Deepens
considerably.
23 November 2023 | Turners Automotive Group Ltd - Steering Through 1H24 Drives Growth
growth in revenue and profitability.
16 November 2023 | NZME Limited - Investor Day Highlights—2023
12 December 2023 | Rakon Limited - NZ$1.70 Per Share Offer Received
9 February 2024 | ikeGPS Subscriptions Power On as Transactions Dim
15 February 2024 | Tower Limited - Clear Sky at Night, Tower's Delight
22 February 2024 | MHM Automation - Cessation of Coverage on Pending Delisting
22 February 2024 | Tower Limited - ASM Positively Surprises
22 February 2024 | NZME Limited - Turning the Page on a Challenging FY23
29 February 2024 | NZME Limited Ad - Market Weakness Drives Newshub Closure
25 March 2024 | Scott Technology - Leadership Transition Amid Continued Growth
17 April 2024 | Scott Technology - Mixed 1H24 Amidst Transition
18 April 2024 | Tower Limited - It's Raining Upgrades
19 April 2024 | ikeGPS - Sales Cycle Turning Positive — 4Q24
24 April 2024 | Rakon Limited - 5G Weakness Persisting, Inventory Stabilising?
8 May 2024 | Scott Technology - Meat Sector Cyclicality Grinds On
22 May 2024 | Turners Automotive Group Ltd - Switching Gears for FY28
30 May 2024 | Rakon Limited - FY24 Result Cyclicality, Opportunities Grow
24 November 2022 | Tower Limited - FY22 Guidance Beaten But One-offs Impact
30 November 2022 | ikeGPS - Solid Momentum Shown in 1H23
12 January 2023 | Tower Limited - New Zealand General Insurance Digest
18 January 2023 | Trade Window Holdings - Capital Raising — Up to NZ$20m Being Sought
8 February 2023 | ikeGSP - Powering Up During 3Q23
increase on the prior period.
28 February 2023 | Trade Window Holdings - Capital Raising Falls Short of Expectations but Discussions Continue
2 March 2023 | Trade Window Holdings - Coverage Discontinued
8 March 2023 | Rakon Limited - Looking Beyond a Solid FY23 Guidance Update
13 April 2023 | Scott Technology - 1H23 Results Reinforce ‘Scott 2025’ Strategy
9 May 2023 | Tower Limited - Wild Weather Weighs but Growth Continues
25 May 2023 | Rakon Limited - Robust FY23 Completed
31 May 2023 | ikeGPS Operating Leverage Emerges on Stellar Topline
18 July 2023 | Rakon Limited - Demand and Inventory Led Softness Continues
20 July 2023 | Tower Limited - Claims Inflation Steals Wild Weather's Thunder
27 July 2023 | ikeGPS - Transactions Stumble while Subscriptions Surge
4 August 2023 | MHM Automation - Automation and Materials Handling Go Global
24 August 2023 | Turners Automotive Group Ltd - Core Auto Retailing Continues to Drive Results
31 August 2023 | MHM Automation - Unpacking the Wyma Acquisition and MHM's Solid Organic Growth Story
29 September 2023 | Tower Limited - Successful FY24 Reinsurance Placement
2 October 2023 | ikeGPS - Key Customer Transactional Delays Continue
11 October 2023 | Turners Automotive Group Ltd Speeding to Record Profits in 1H24
17 October 2023 | Tower Limited - FY23 Updated for Final Large Event Costs
19 October 2023 | Scott Technology - FY23 Result — Core Growth
26 October 2023 | ikeGPS 1H24 Trading Update — Transactional Delays
30 October 2023 | Rakon Limited - Telecoms Weakness Persists
6 November 2023 | MHM Automation - Scheme Implementation Agreement Signed
9 November 2023 | NZME Limited - Navigating Media's Digital Wave
24 November 2023 | Tower Limited - Goodbye FY23 Floods, Hello FY24
and large events claims costs.
30 November 2023 | ikeGPS 1H24 Transactional Revenue Weakness
22 December 2023 | ikeGPS Top US Utility Signs on in PoleForeman Deal
26 January 2024 | Rakon Limited MercuryX™ and the AI Hardware Revolution
satellite applications...
13 February 2024 | Turners Automotive Group Ltd - Motoring Towards Another Record Result
20 February 2024 | Harmoney - The Sweet Sound of Operational Leverage
26 February 2024 | Harmoney - Tuning up the Efficiency in 1H24
15 March 2021 | A Tower of Strength
18 May 2021 | Hopes for FY21 Growth Go Up in Smoke
14 March 2024 | Scott Technology - Rocklabs' New Auckland Site Grand Opening
12 April 2024 | Tower Limited - Benign is Divine
27 May 2021 | Tower 1H21 Result
14 June 2021 | Raining on Expectations
1 May 2024 | Harmoney - Stellare® 2.0 Efficiency Offsets Slower Growth
16 May 2024 | Rakon Limited - Launching into the LEO NewSpace Market
2 November 2021 | Tidying up the Pacific
11 November 2021 | Reassessing Flood and Climate Change Risks
29 May 2024 | Tower Limited - Event-Less 1H24 Sees Earnings Jump
25 November 2021 | FY21 Simplifying the Story
24 January 2022 | Hunga Tonga — Hunga Ha'apai
3 February 2022 | Steady as She Goes - But Growing
27 May 2022 | FY22 Record Result Awaits New Capacity
10 June 2022 | The Front Line of Trade
14 September 2022 | ikeGPS Group Ltd
3 October 2022 | ikeGPS - Solid AGM Update Driven By Customer & USD Tailwinds
19 October 2022 | ikeGPS - Exceptional Momentum Continues in 1H23
21 November 2022 | Trade Window Holdings - 1H23 — Awaiting Offshore Growth Drivers
25 November 2022 | Rakon Limited - Post Strong 1H23 Result, Outlook Softens
16 January 2023 | Trade Window Holdings - Updated Guidance and Longer Term Outlook
20 January 2023 | Scott Technology - Transforming Industry via Smart Automation
20 February 2023 | Tower Limited - FY23 Estimates Flooded, but the Inflationary Environment Continues in Higher GWP Growth
1 March 2023 | Tower Limited - 1Q23 and ASM Updates
8 March 2023 | Turners Automotive Group Ltd - Fueling Growth Despite Headwinds
5 April 2023 | Tower Limited Edition 3 — NZ General Insurance Digest
5 May 2023 | ikeGPS - Solid 4Q23 Update as FY23 Electrifies
24 May 2023 | Turners Automotive Group Ltd - Brand Momentum Drives Market Share Growth
20 June 2023 | Rakon Limited - New Indian Plant Opens Opportunities
4 July 2023 | Tower Limited - Tidy Up Continues With Solomon Islands Sale
23 September 2021 | New Guidance on the Journey
17 December 2021 | Stars Align
3 February 2022 | Sector and 5G Market Updated
11 February 2022 | Shooting for the Stars
27 May 2022 | 1H22 Growth Upset by Large Events
12 August 2022 | 2022 ASM - Initial FY23 Guidance Impresses
3 October 2022 | Tower Limited - FY23 Reinsurance Programme Update
5 October 2022 | Tower Limited - New Zealand General Insurance Digest
31 October 2022 | Trade Window Holdings - US Footprint and Key Partner Announced
8 February 2023 | Turners Automotive Group Ltd - Driving in the Right Direction
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